Friday, December 29, 2006

2007 World Junior Hockey Championship
Tie-break format

I haven't seen this info posted anywhere, but as we approach the end of the round-robin portion of the tournament, the tie-break format is what everyone's going to be asking about.

After rummaging around some IIHF documents I've got handy, here's what I've come up with:
The tie-breaking system for two teams with the same number of points in a standing will be the game between the two teams, the winner of the game taking precedence.
Sounds simple enough. Since there are no longer ties in the tournament, it'll never be the case that the teams tied in the standings played to a tie, and the only other case where additional tie-breakers are needed is in the case of a three-way tie:
Should three or more teams be tied, then a tie breaking formula will be applied as follows, creating a sub-group amongst the tied teams:

Step 1: Taking into consideration the games between each of the tied teams, a sub-group is created applying the goal difference in the direct games amongst the tied teams.

Step 2: Should the teams still remain tied then the highest number of goals scored by these teams in their direct games will be decisive.
There are actually five steps under this three-way tie scenario, but it's hard to imagine more than these two coming into play.


At 12:40 p.m., December 30, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

your a champ i've been looking for hours!!!!

At 12:51 p.m., December 30, 2007, Blogger Doogie said...

So what this means is that it doesn't matter how badly the Danes get pummelled, because the GD is only between the tied teams? So that means Canada is at +2, Sweden at +1, and the Czech Republic at -3. So as long as the Czechs (a) win, and (b) do it by four or fewer goals, it's easy. If they win by exactly five, then it's step 2. Canada has six goals, the Swedes have 4, the Czechs 0.

Based on all that, a nice, comfortable 5-1 Czech win would go over very well, thankyouverymuch.

At 3:47 p.m., December 30, 2007, Blogger Bruce said...

Interesting, thanks for this.

Craig Hartsburg and team need a good lesson in game theory, instead of going hard for the win in regulation yesterday they could have played a little more conservatively in the last minute and gotten to OT. If they win there (or the shootout) they are ahead of the Swedes in the standings with only a sure win against Denmark left on the schedule. Whereas if they lose in OT to the Swedes they are one point behind, and any sort of split points in the Czech-Sweden game comes into play. To me a regulation tie between Sweden and the Czechs is far more probable than a Canadian loss to Denmark -- let's face it, if we lose to Denmark we don't deserve first place -- so the balls to the wall forecheck in the last minute was unnecessary and backfired big time. In the context of the standings, there was just no reason for it.


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