Tuesday, February 06, 2007

The post-Christmas push

I hadn't updated my makeshift power rankings since before Christmas, and the old data offered an interesting portrait at how the standings have shifted since that point. Here's a look:

Points percentage

TeamBefore XmasNow
Nashville
3
1
Buffalo
2
2
Detroit
5
2
Anaheim
1
4
New Jersey
9
5
San Jose
4
6
Calgary
13
7
Dallas
8
8
Atlanta
7
9
Montreal
5
10
Pittsburgh
19
11
Vancouver
24
12
Ottawa
20
13
Minnesota
15
14
Tampa Bay
20
15
Toronto
20
16
N.Y. Islanders
11
17
Carolina
12
18
Edmonton
15
19
Colorado
15
20
N.Y. Rangers
18
21
Boston
10
22
Washington
14
23
Phoenix
27
24
St. Louis
29
24
Florida
25
26
Columbus
26
27
Chicago
20
28
Los Angeles
28
29
Philadelphia
30
30


Goal differential

TeamBefore XmasNow
Nashville
4
1
Buffalo
2
2
San Jose
3
3
Anaheim
1
4
Detroit
5
5
Calgary
9
6
Ottawa
11
7
New Jersey
13
8
Pittsburgh
19
9
Minnesota
13
10
Dallas
6
11
Colorado
7
12
Tampa Bay
16
13
N.Y. Islanders
10
14
Vancouver
24
15
Montreal
7
16
Atlanta
11
17
Toronto
20
18
N.Y. Rangers
18
19
Edmonton
13
20
Carolina
17
21
Florida
26
22
Washington
21
23
St. Louis
28
24
Columbus
25
25
Chicago
23
26
Phoenix
29
27
Los Angeles
27
28
Boston
22
29
Philadelphia
30
30

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1 Comments:

At 2:44 PM, February 07, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Power rankings based on win loss records (i.e.points) and total goal differentials are highly misleading when teams are playing an unbalanced schedule.

The Western Conference is a good case in pont. In the west there are five very weak teams - L.A., Phoenix, St. Louis, Columus and Chicago.

Because of the unbalanced schedule Detroit and Nashville get to play these weak teams 32 times over the course of the schedule. Anahiem, San Jose and Dallas get to play them 28 times. However, all five North West Division teams play them only 20 times.

As a result, Detroit and Nashville - and to a slightly lesser degree Anahiem, San Jose and Dallas - have much easier schedules than the North West teams and therefore will have better win loss records and goal differentials.

 

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