The odds against Buffalo
Well, as bleak as it may be, I might as well keep this up.
Down 3-0, the Buffalo Sabres are going to be written off by all but their most ardent fans — and with good reason. You don't come back from a deficit like this very often, and there have been three decade gaps between the only two times it's happened in the NHL.
The good news? It's been 32 years since the expansion New York Islanders last turned the trick in the second round of the 1975 playoffs against Pittsburgh, so someone's due to do the impossible.
Courtesy of whowins.com, here's a look at the historical chance to win the series for teams in Lindy Ruff and Co.'s position heading into tomorrow's Game 4:
When down 3-0 in a best-of-seven series: 1.4% (2-146)
When down 3-0 in the conference finals: 0% (0-36)
When home team loses first three games: 3.3% (1-29)
When home team loses first three conference finals games: 0% (0-6)
Trailing team's record in Game 4
After dropping first three games: 34.5%
After team with home ice drops first three: 30%
After team with home ice drops first three in conference finals: 33.3%