Wednesday, May 02, 2007

Updated odds

Here are the odds for potential Round 3 match-ups following last night's wins by New York and Anaheim (and just like that the Canucks are down to single-digits odds of advancing):

Western Conference probabilities
(given May 1 results)

Anaheim-San Jose: 54.5%
Detroit-Anaheim: 40.5%
Vancouver-San Jose: 2.9%
Detroit-Vancouver: 2.1%

Eastern Conference probabilities
(given May 1 results)

Buffalo-Ottawa: 31.3%
Ottawa-Rangers: 26.1%
Buffalo-New Jersey: 23.2%
New Jersey-Rangers: 19.4%


At 2:02 p.m., May 02, 2007, Anonymous Jason Mandell said...

i'm really liking these odds updates, esp being a stats geek. thanks James.

At 2:26 p.m., May 02, 2007, Blogger Kel said...

It just shows how big game 4 was for the Canucks. Before that game, the Canucks had a combined 30% chance, now they have less than 5% chance. Had they won, they would probably be at around 50%. A clearly blown opportunity given their two-goal lead heading into the 3rd period..


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