Friday, September 21, 2007

2008 Stanley Cup odds

Doc Sports has odds up on who will win the Stanley Cup next June:
  1. Anaheim +500
  2. Ottawa +675
  3. Detroit +725
  4. San Jose +750
  5. N.Y. Rangers +900
  6. Buffalo +950
  7. Philadelphia +1,000
  8. Calgary +1,500
  9. Colorado +1,500
  10. Vancouver +1,500
  11. Pittsburgh +1,500
  12. Nashville +1,700
  13. Toronto +2,000
  14. Minnesota +2,100
  15. New Jersey +2,100
  16. Dallas +2,000
  17. Atlanta +2,400
  18. Carolina +2,500
  19. Tampa Bay +2,500
  20. Montreal +3,100
  21. Florida +4,100
  22. N.Y. Islanders +4,700
  23. Boston +5,000
  24. Los Angeles +5,400
  25. St. Louis +5,500
  26. Edmonton +6,500
  27. Washington +6,500
  28. Chicago +8,500
  29. Columbus +8,500
  30. Phoenix +10,500
Whatever you do, don't take that Phoenix bet.

The Flyers and Avalanche get much love as teams that missed the postseason last year, while Dallas, Atlanta and Tampa Bay are way down on the low end given they were in the mix in 2006-07.

Personally, I'd feel pretty confident in saying you can pick 15 teams that have no hope, 7-8 with a faint one and 7-8 with a decent shot. (San Jose seems to be the favourite with prognosticators so far.)

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At 8:50 a.m., September 21, 2007, Blogger Chemmy said...

Buffalo +950
Philadelphia +1000.

The worst team in the entire league adds:

- Another backup goaltender to the Esche/Niitymaki circus
- A bunch of Nashville castoffs
- A guy Buffalo didn't bother trying to sign

And suddenly they're $50 behind the team that won the President's trophy on the Moneyline.

Suuuuuure. Philly will be better this year, but they're still not going to the postseason.

At 9:19 a.m., September 21, 2007, Anonymous Dennis Prouse said...

The Canucks are 10th? That seems pretty low for a team that won its division, won a round in the playoffs, and has arguably the best goalie in the league between the pipes. I wouldn't have them top three or anything, but I would have put them at least 7th on that list.

At 9:19 a.m., September 21, 2007, Blogger BlackCapricorn said...

Interesting to see Buffalo so high in the odds. Clearly the oddsmakers don't see much of a falloff. As a Buffalo fan I hope they are right but secretly think they are wrong.

At 9:44 a.m., September 21, 2007, Blogger Chemmy said...

BlackCapricorn: As a Leafs fan, I don't think Buffalo has too far to fall. I went to BU and love the guy, but Drury isn't a scoring force, and Briere is easily replaceable.

Buffalo turned Briere from an AHL nobody into an All-star, they'll do it with someone else this year.

At 9:52 a.m., September 21, 2007, Blogger Vic Ferrari said...

This is a tourist bet, holds are a whopping 44% here if my arithmetic is right. Contrast that with 4%ish holds for game lines, and 5% or so holds for VLTs. Meaning that, over the long haul, for every dollar the VLT takes in it spits out 95 cents and holds onto a nickel.

i.e. This is mostly an indication of casual bettor activity with one bookie. Which is interesting, and looks pretty close to the general order of James' "make the playoffs" poll I think. Maybe these fans are giving Nashville a bit more love.

At 10:31 a.m., September 21, 2007, Anonymous Keith said...

The Canucks are where they belong, imo. Yeah, they have one of the best goalies in the league. They also have an unspectacular, albeit well rounded defence and no offense to speak of after the Sedins.

The Avs should not be where they are though. Show me a goaltender before I look at them as anything more than a lower tier playoff hopeful.

At 11:01 a.m., September 21, 2007, Anonymous said...

People are giving Philiadelphia way to much credit. Are they better? Yes. WIll they make the playoff? 45 percent chance. Arwe they the 7th best team in the NHL? NOT BY A LONG SHOT!

At 11:06 a.m., September 21, 2007, Blogger saskhab said...

Can someone please explain to me why Dallas is low on everyone's list? Who exactly did they lose from last year's strong team? Lindros? Patrik Stefan? Jon Klemm? Barnaby?

They acquired an important player last year at the deadline that they now have for a full season (Norstrom), and lost Nagy who was an ineffective rental. Turco shook his playoff demons.

Seems like a good bet to take if they're that low. Sure, they have scoring issues, but there's definitely potential to improve that from within, or from a late season trade. Besides, it's not an offensively minded team.

At 4:33 p.m., September 21, 2007, Blogger Matt said...

Neither is much of the West. So then it basically comes down to defense and goaltending.

I agree that Dallas should be ranked higher than that, but I don't think they're a serious contender.

I have them finishing 6th in the West.

At 6:56 p.m., September 21, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Those are brutal odds. Are online punters that stupid?

At 2:01 p.m., March 16, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

why does phoenix have such bad odds?they have been underestimated for years and right now they are playing excellent hockey and are only five points out of eighth place in the western division.while i wouldnt put thm in the top ten or even top twelve but i think that they should get more credit than last place.ever since Bryzgalov came to phoenix they have turned it around.


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