The 30 Team Era
For all of the talk of relocation, expansion and tumult in the NHL, it's been seven years since we've seen the shifting (or creation) of a franchise. The 2000-01 season was the beginning for Columbus and Minnesota, and the end to the league's latest, four-team expansion plan.
A look at how all 30 teams have fared in the 30 team era:
| GP | W | L | T/OTL | PTS | ||
| 1 | Detroit | 492 | 304 | 113 | 75 | 683 |
| 2 | Ottawa | 492 | 283 | 137 | 72 | 638 |
| 3 | Dallas | 492 | 274 | 143 | 75 | 623 |
| 4 | New Jersey | 492 | 273 | 143 | 76 | 622 |
| 5 | Colorado | 492 | 266 | 146 | 80 | 612 |
| 6 | Vancouver | 492 | 257 | 163 | 72 | 586 |
| 7 | San Jose | 492 | 250 | 165 | 77 | 577 |
| 8 | Toronto | 492 | 250 | 170 | 72 | 572 |
| 9 | Philadelphia | 492 | 237 | 167 | 88 | 562 |
| 10 | Buffalo | 492 | 250 | 182 | 60 | 560 |
| 11 | Edmonton | 492 | 222 | 182 | 88 | 532 |
| 12 | Boston | 492 | 220 | 182 | 90 | 530 |
| 13 | Nashville | 492 | 227 | 189 | 76 | 530 |
| 14 | St. Louis | 492 | 221 | 184 | 87 | 529 |
| 15 | Calgary | 492 | 219 | 191 | 82 | 520 |
| 16 | Carolina | 492 | 215 | 191 | 86 | 516 |
| 17 | Anaheim | 492 | 214 | 192 | 86 | 514 |
| 18 | Tampa Bay | 492 | 221 | 199 | 72 | 514 |
| 19 | Montreal | 492 | 219 | 201 | 72 | 510 |
| 20 | Minnesota | 492 | 209 | 194 | 89 | 507 |
| 21 | Los Angeles | 492 | 208 | 197 | 87 | 503 |
| 22 | NY Rangers | 492 | 214 | 213 | 65 | 493 |
| 23 | NY Islanders | 492 | 212 | 212 | 68 | 492 |
| 24 | Phoenix | 492 | 197 | 210 | 85 | 479 |
| 25 | Washington | 492 | 196 | 216 | 80 | 472 |
| 26 | Atlanta | 492 | 190 | 229 | 73 | 453 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh | 492 | 189 | 230 | 73 | 451 |
| 28 | Florida | 492 | 168 | 218 | 106 | 442 |
| 29 | Chicago | 492 | 177 | 228 | 87 | 441 |
| 30 | Columbus | 492 | 172 | 258 | 62 | 406 |
It's certainly worth noting that the two postlockout seasons, 2005-06 and 2006-07, had more points up for grabs, with teams averaging 91.4 points in those years due to the implementation of the shootout. Previously in this time frame, teams averaged between 86 and 87.3 points per year, which means clubs that excelled from 2000-2004 have a minor handicap in the point department.
Even still, this gives you a good idea of which clubs have dominated since September, 2000. Detroit and Ottawa are as close as we've had to regular season dynasties in that time period, while Columbus' attempts to put a franchise together have been, well, let's call them unsuccessful.
| GP | GF | GA | Gdif. | ||
| 1 | Ottawa | 492 | 1644 | 1216 | 428 |
| 2 | Detroit | 492 | 1587 | 1189 | 398 |
| 3 | Colorado | 492 | 1524 | 1261 | 263 |
| 4 | New Jersey | 492 | 1387 | 1142 | 245 |
| 5 | Dallas | 492 | 1386 | 1159 | 227 |
| 6 | San Jose | 492 | 1422 | 1254 | 168 |
| 7 | Vancouver | 492 | 1470 | 1307 | 163 |
| 8 | Buffalo | 492 | 1430 | 1305 | 125 |
| 9 | Toronto | 492 | 1474 | 1365 | 109 |
| 10 | Philadelphia | 492 | 1395 | 1313 | 82 |
| 11 | Nashville | 492 | 1312 | 1292 | 20 |
| 12 | Edmonton | 492 | 1351 | 1341 | 10 |
| 13 | Minnesota | 492 | 1215 | 1215 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Louis | 492 | 1331 | 1349 | -18 |
| 15 | Anaheim | 492 | 1262 | 1286 | -24 |
| 16 | Calgary | 492 | 1260 | 1286 | -26 |
| 17 | Montreal | 492 | 1315 | 1370 | -55 |
| 18 | Los Angeles | 492 | 1350 | 1409 | -59 |
| 19 | Boston | 492 | 1366 | 1430 | -64 |
| 20 | NY Rangers | 492 | 1392 | 1460 | -68 |
| 21 | Tampa Bay | 492 | 1348 | 1422 | -74 |
| 22 | NY Islanders | 492 | 1362 | 1447 | -85 |
| 23 | Carolina | 492 | 1307 | 1404 | -97 |
| 24 | Phoenix | 492 | 1296 | 1452 | -156 |
| 25 | Washington | 492 | 1343 | 1516 | -173 |
| 26 | Florida | 492 | 1231 | 1468 | -237 |
| 27 | Pittsburgh | 492 | 1379 | 1625 | -246 |
| 28 | Chicago | 492 | 1233 | 1481 | -248 |
| 29 | Atlanta | 492 | 1365 | 1624 | -259 |
| 30 | Columbus | 492 | 1168 | 1517 | -349 |
It's really interesting to note that Vancouver was so strong over this time period, but had very little postseason success.
This also gives you an idea of the tough times the fans in Pittsburgh have been through, and Toronto's been the fourth-highest scoring team in the past six seasons.
Philadelphia would be much, much higher if not for finishing 30th last season.
| PP% | Rank | PK% | Rank | ||
| 1 | Detroit | 20.90 | 1 | 85.67 | 1 |
| 2 | Ottawa | 19.45 | 3 | 84.75 | 6 |
| 3 | Dallas | 17.97 | 7 | 84.53 | 7 |
| 4 | Colorado | 19.83 | 2 | 83.47 | 14 |
| 5 | New Jersey | 17.23 | 12 | 84.78 | 4 |
| 6 | Anaheim | 17.32 | 11 | 84.77 | 5 |
| 7 | Vancouver | 17.78 | 8 | 84.13 | 9 |
| 8 | Buffalo | 16.38 | 16 | 85.43 | 2 |
| 9 | San Jose | 17.55 | 9 | 83.72 | 10 |
| 10 | Toronto | 18.05 | 5 | 83.05 | 18 |
| 11 | Nashville | 15.80 | 21 | 84.35 | 8 |
| 12 | St. Louis | 16.87 | 13 | 83.17 | 17 |
| 13 | Montreal | 17.40 | 10 | 82.87 | 20 |
| 14 | Boston | 16.07 | 19 | 83.60 | 12 |
| 15 | Minnesota | 14.67 | 29 | 85.27 | 3 |
| 16 | Philadelphia | 15.97 | 20 | 83.48 | 13 |
| 17 | Washington | 18.02 | 6 | 81.33 | 27 |
| 18 | Pittsburgh | 18.33 | 4 | 81.02 | 29 |
| 19 | NY Islanders | 16.08 | 17 | 83.00 | 19 |
| 20 | Edmonton | 14.98 | 27 | 83.63 | 11 |
| 21 | Los Angeles | 16.85 | 14 | 81.40 | 26 |
| 22 | Tampa Bay | 16.08 | 17 | 82.62 | 23 |
| 23 | Carolina | 15.40 | 25 | 83.42 | 15 |
| 24 | NY Rangers | 16.73 | 15 | 81.08 | 28 |
| 25 | Phoenix | 15.80 | 21 | 81.85 | 25 |
| 26 | Chicago | 13.88 | 30 | 83.38 | 16 |
| 27 | Calgary | 15.60 | 23 | 82.35 | 24 |
| 28 | Florida | 15.33 | 26 | 82.85 | 22 |
| 29 | Columbus | 14.92 | 28 | 82.87 | 21 |
| 30 | Atlanta | 15.53 | 24 | 80.95 | 30 |
Detroit's essentially been the class of almost every category over this period, although Colorado, Toronto and Pittsburgh have been strong on the power play, and Buffalo, Minnesota and New Jersey are top penalty killing teams.
This season so far has been a weird one, something that may indicate we're shifting away from these trends. Detroit and Ottawa are still dominant, but New Jersey and Dallas have struggled, and Columbus and Minnesota may be putting something together.
Thoughts?





5 Comments:
Intersting for sure. I'm not interested in plus/minus and all the other stats that are b.s.
But this is definetly cool. Surprising, too. Thanks.
It's surprising to see that Tampa ranks as low as 17th in power play percentage, considering they've had Richards, St. Louis, and Lecavalier for the entire seven-year span--not to mention a pretty good rotating cast of guys like Prospal, Modin, Stillman, Andreychuk, and so on.
I think it'll take at least another month to determine whether Columbus is in fact "putting something together." The Blue Jackets have relied pretty heavily on Pascal Leclaire, and even though he's hot now, he hasn't shown the ability to carry a team before. When Brian Boucher had that five-shutout streak in 2003-04, Phoenix still missed the playoffs.
"Unsuccessful" is a kind word.
I don't know about Columbus, either. They are playing better and with a lot more structure, but it's easier to do that when you can see the clear results in wins. It will be interesting if thye can still play the same way when they go through a bit where the wins aren't coming, and it's easy to get frustrated and try something different.
Minnesota has been building for a little while now, and here's hoping Gaborik doesn't miss a lot (more) time.
I knew Detroit had been solid throughout, but wow.
Anonymous, you really think goal differential is BS? Looks to me like there's a pretty good correlation between GD and points on the board. Others have done some pretty good studies that used a team's GD to predict standings, although I won't try to explain them myself.
Team GD is not the same as the raw +/- for a player. (And, even as far as that goes, I think that situational +/- is still worth examining.)
Mikep, just to back your statement up. Goal differential is closely related to the The Pythagorean Method which has been shown to be highly predictive. The main difference is taking the square to reduce the impact of blowouts.
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