Sunday, November 04, 2007

The 30 Team Era

For all of the talk of relocation, expansion and tumult in the NHL, it's been seven years since we've seen the shifting (or creation) of a franchise. The 2000-01 season was the beginning for Columbus and Minnesota, and the end to the league's latest, four-team expansion plan.

A look at how all 30 teams have fared in the 30 team era:



GP W L T/OTL PTS
1 Detroit 492 304 113 75 683
2 Ottawa 492 283 137 72 638
3 Dallas 492 274 143 75 623
4 New Jersey 492 273 143 76 622
5 Colorado 492 266 146 80 612
6 Vancouver 492 257 163 72 586
7 San Jose 492 250 165 77 577
8 Toronto 492 250 170 72 572
9 Philadelphia 492 237 167 88 562
10 Buffalo 492 250 182 60 560
11 Edmonton 492 222 182 88 532
12 Boston 492 220 182 90 530
13 Nashville 492 227 189 76 530
14 St. Louis 492 221 184 87 529
15 Calgary 492 219 191 82 520
16 Carolina 492 215 191 86 516
17 Anaheim 492 214 192 86 514
18 Tampa Bay 492 221 199 72 514
19 Montreal 492 219 201 72 510
20 Minnesota 492 209 194 89 507
21 Los Angeles 492 208 197 87 503
22 NY Rangers 492 214 213 65 493
23 NY Islanders 492 212 212 68 492
24 Phoenix 492 197 210 85 479
25 Washington 492 196 216 80 472
26 Atlanta 492 190 229 73 453
27 Pittsburgh 492 189 230 73 451
28 Florida 492 168 218 106 442
29 Chicago 492 177 228 87 441
30 Columbus 492 172 258 62 406

It's certainly worth noting that the two postlockout seasons, 2005-06 and 2006-07, had more points up for grabs, with teams averaging 91.4 points in those years due to the implementation of the shootout. Previously in this time frame, teams averaged between 86 and 87.3 points per year, which means clubs that excelled from 2000-2004 have a minor handicap in the point department.

Even still, this gives you a good idea of which clubs have dominated since September, 2000. Detroit and Ottawa are as close as we've had to regular season dynasties in that time period, while Columbus' attempts to put a franchise together have been, well, let's call them unsuccessful.



GP GF GA Gdif.
1 Ottawa 492 1644 1216 428
2 Detroit 492 1587 1189 398
3 Colorado 492 1524 1261 263
4 New Jersey 492 1387 1142 245
5 Dallas 492 1386 1159 227
6 San Jose 492 1422 1254 168
7 Vancouver 492 1470 1307 163
8 Buffalo 492 1430 1305 125
9 Toronto 492 1474 1365 109
10 Philadelphia 492 1395 1313 82
11 Nashville 492 1312 1292 20
12 Edmonton 492 1351 1341 10
13 Minnesota 492 1215 1215 0
14 St. Louis 492 1331 1349 -18
15 Anaheim 492 1262 1286 -24
16 Calgary 492 1260 1286 -26
17 Montreal 492 1315 1370 -55
18 Los Angeles 492 1350 1409 -59
19 Boston 492 1366 1430 -64
20 NY Rangers 492 1392 1460 -68
21 Tampa Bay 492 1348 1422 -74
22 NY Islanders 492 1362 1447 -85
23 Carolina 492 1307 1404 -97
24 Phoenix 492 1296 1452 -156
25 Washington 492 1343 1516 -173
26 Florida 492 1231 1468 -237
27 Pittsburgh 492 1379 1625 -246
28 Chicago 492 1233 1481 -248
29 Atlanta 492 1365 1624 -259
30 Columbus 492 1168 1517 -349

It's really interesting to note that Vancouver was so strong over this time period, but had very little postseason success.

This also gives you an idea of the tough times the fans in Pittsburgh have been through, and Toronto's been the fourth-highest scoring team in the past six seasons.

Philadelphia would be much, much higher if not for finishing 30th last season.



PP% Rank PK% Rank
1 Detroit 20.90 1 85.67 1
2 Ottawa 19.45 3 84.75 6
3 Dallas 17.97 7 84.53 7
4 Colorado 19.83 2 83.47 14
5 New Jersey 17.23 12 84.78 4
6 Anaheim 17.32 11 84.77 5
7 Vancouver 17.78 8 84.13 9
8 Buffalo 16.38 16 85.43 2
9 San Jose 17.55 9 83.72 10
10 Toronto 18.05 5 83.05 18
11 Nashville 15.80 21 84.35 8
12 St. Louis 16.87 13 83.17 17
13 Montreal 17.40 10 82.87 20
14 Boston 16.07 19 83.60 12
15 Minnesota 14.67 29 85.27 3
16 Philadelphia 15.97 20 83.48 13
17 Washington 18.02 6 81.33 27
18 Pittsburgh 18.33 4 81.02 29
19 NY Islanders 16.08 17 83.00 19
20 Edmonton 14.98 27 83.63 11
21 Los Angeles 16.85 14 81.40 26
22 Tampa Bay 16.08 17 82.62 23
23 Carolina 15.40 25 83.42 15
24 NY Rangers 16.73 15 81.08 28
25 Phoenix 15.80 21 81.85 25
26 Chicago 13.88 30 83.38 16
27 Calgary 15.60 23 82.35 24
28 Florida 15.33 26 82.85 22
29 Columbus 14.92 28 82.87 21
30 Atlanta 15.53 24 80.95 30

Detroit's essentially been the class of almost every category over this period, although Colorado, Toronto and Pittsburgh have been strong on the power play, and Buffalo, Minnesota and New Jersey are top penalty killing teams.

This season so far has been a weird one, something that may indicate we're shifting away from these trends. Detroit and Ottawa are still dominant, but New Jersey and Dallas have struggled, and Columbus and Minnesota may be putting something together.

Thoughts?

5 Comments:

At 1:09 AM, November 04, 2007, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Intersting for sure. I'm not interested in plus/minus and all the other stats that are b.s.

But this is definetly cool. Surprising, too. Thanks.

 
At 1:22 AM, November 04, 2007, Anonymous Lucas Aykroyd said...

It's surprising to see that Tampa ranks as low as 17th in power play percentage, considering they've had Richards, St. Louis, and Lecavalier for the entire seven-year span--not to mention a pretty good rotating cast of guys like Prospal, Modin, Stillman, Andreychuk, and so on.

I think it'll take at least another month to determine whether Columbus is in fact "putting something together." The Blue Jackets have relied pretty heavily on Pascal Leclaire, and even though he's hot now, he hasn't shown the ability to carry a team before. When Brian Boucher had that five-shutout streak in 2003-04, Phoenix still missed the playoffs.

 
At 7:05 AM, November 04, 2007, Anonymous Baroque said...

"Unsuccessful" is a kind word.

I don't know about Columbus, either. They are playing better and with a lot more structure, but it's easier to do that when you can see the clear results in wins. It will be interesting if thye can still play the same way when they go through a bit where the wins aren't coming, and it's easy to get frustrated and try something different.

Minnesota has been building for a little while now, and here's hoping Gaborik doesn't miss a lot (more) time.

I knew Detroit had been solid throughout, but wow.

 
At 8:56 AM, November 04, 2007, Anonymous MikeP said...

Anonymous, you really think goal differential is BS? Looks to me like there's a pretty good correlation between GD and points on the board. Others have done some pretty good studies that used a team's GD to predict standings, although I won't try to explain them myself.

Team GD is not the same as the raw +/- for a player. (And, even as far as that goes, I think that situational +/- is still worth examining.)

 
At 12:16 PM, November 04, 2007, Anonymous Mogen_david said...

Mikep, just to back your statement up. Goal differential is closely related to the The Pythagorean Method which has been shown to be highly predictive. The main difference is taking the square to reduce the impact of blowouts.

 

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