Monday, January 21, 2008

Crosby could miss more time
And he'll be missed in Pittsburgh

Crosby injured his right ankle during the Penguins' 3-0 loss to Tampa Bay on Friday and is expected to be out at least a month and possibly longer. Because there is swelling in his ankle, Crosby won't be re-examined by team doctors until Tuesday.
Sid the Kid was supposed to have an MRI done today on the ankle, so this development can't be considered a good thing. So far all we've heard is that four weeks diagnosis for a high ankle sprain, but what we haven't heard is that there could certainly be a fracture in the leg.

That would keep him out for longer, and it's not out of the question we don't see him again at all this season.

Again, we don't really know anything until tomorrow. (Other than the fact he's not repeating as league MVP.)

Despite the fact he faces top checkers every game of the season, Crosby is the Penguins' offence. When he's on the ice at even strength, the team scores at a rate of 3.95 goals per 60 minutes, eighth best in the league. When he's not, their goal-scoring rate falls to 1.57 per 60 mins.

The Penguins have other weapons, and they're going to have to step up, but almost as much as anyone in the league, Crosby's the one making things happen in Pittsburgh.

A look at the top players at improving their teams' offence when they're on the ice at even strength:


NAME TM GP QUAL COMP GFON/60 GFOFF/60
Diff
1 DANYHEATLEY OTT 43 0.1 4.98 2.2
2.78
2 RYANGETZLAF ANA 49 -0.02 4.01 1.29
2.72
3 JAROMEIGINLA CGY 49 0.06 4.31 1.77
2.54
4 SIDNEYCROSBY PIT 46 0.01 3.95 1.57
2.38
5 JASONSPEZZA OTT 42 0.12 4.65 2.31
2.34
6 COREYPERRY ANA 51 -0.02 3.67 1.37
2.30
7 TODDBERTUZZI ANA 37 -0.06 3.45 1.35
2.10
8 PAVELDATSYUK DET 49 0.14 4.27 2.27
2.00
9 VINCENTLECAVALIER T.B 48 0.12 3.78 1.85
1.93
10 NICKLASLIDSTROM DET 49 0.21 4.09 2.18
1.91
11 HENRIKZETTERBERG DET 44 0.18 4.1 2.25
1.85
12 PAULSTASTNY COL 46 0.12 3.88 2.09
1.79
13 MARTINST. LOUIS T.B 48 0.09 3.64 1.85
1.79
14 ALEXANDERRADULOV NSH 47 -0.02 3.83 2.09
1.74
15 MIKERICHARDS PHI 46 0.04 3.74 2.01
1.73
16 AARONVOROS MIN 31 -0.05 3.51 1.79
1.72
17 NICLASHAVELID ATL 50 0.12 3.35 1.67
1.68
18 BRADBOYES STL 45 -0.02 3.68 2.03
1.65
19 RYANMALONE PIT 42 0 3.52 1.87
1.65
20 MATSSUNDIN TOR 49 0.1 3.78 2.17
1.61

Pittsburgh won 2-0 on Saturday with out him, and things are going to be tight until he comes back. Just watch the goals for decline.

And, as Eric Duhatschek says, we'll certainly see what Evgeni Malkin's made of now.

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6 Comments:

At 2:21 PM, January 21, 2008, Blogger saskhab said...

Ugh. I had repressed that 2-0 Saturday loss already, James. That was some ugly hockey.

I think Erik Christensen is another guy that should be one to watch in Sid's absence. He has the skills, it's just a matter of being placed in a position to show them.

 
At 2:43 PM, January 21, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Interesting work.

Differential is one measure.

Ratio is probably better: GFON / GFOFF = X

e.g. when Player A is on the ice, the GF is 2.50 times higher than when he is off the ice.

This compensates for players who play on lower-scoring teams.

 
At 3:19 PM, January 21, 2008, Blogger Eyeris said...

Surprise finding Voros's name on that list.

 
At 3:30 PM, January 21, 2008, Blogger James Mirtle said...

It's a rate statistic, so sometimes you can get guys with low ice time showing up; I didn't get a chance to weed out players who play ~12-minutes a game or less.

 
At 3:53 PM, January 21, 2008, Blogger Adam C said...

Hmmm... perhaps this is why Therrien went to such great lengths to ensure that all of his players had a lot of experience not playing on Crosby's line... Now they're prepared!

 
At 9:24 AM, January 22, 2008, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Heatley is high on this list partly because of Spezza. Spezza is high partly because of Heatley. Therefore, shouldn't we halve their individual contributions? Compare them to Iginla who has no other Flames accompanying him on this list. Iginla's differential is primarily because of his own efforts. Why not use the strength-of-teammates adjusted numbers?

 

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