Projecting the standings
One more quick post based on the standings since Dec. 31 — here's a look at what the final standings would be if teams play the same over the final 20~ games as they have so far in 2008 (keeping in mind that that's a pretty big if):
| GR | Pts | New Pts | Total | ||
| 1 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 75 | 30.1 | 105.1 |
| 2 | New Jersey | 21 | 75 | 27.4 | 102.4 |
| 3 | Montreal | 20 | 75 | 26.1 | 101.1 |
| 4 | Ottawa | 21 | 76 | 20.1 | 96.1 |
| 5 | Boston | 22 | 68 | 27.2 | 95.2 |
| 6 | Buffalo | 21 | 68 | 24.5 | 92.5 |
| 7 | Washington | 21 | 63 | 26.7 | 89.7 |
| 8 | NY Rangers | 20 | 68 | 20.9 | 88.9 |
| 9 | NY Islanders | 20 | 67 | 20.8 | 87.8 |
| 10 | Philadelphia | 21 | 66 | 21.0 | 87.0 |
| 11 | Carolina | 18 | 67 | 18.8 | 85.8 |
| 12 | Atlanta | 20 | 62 | 20.9 | 82.9 |
| 13 | Tampa Bay | 21 | 57 | 22.9 | 79.9 |
| 14 | Florida | 19 | 61 | 17.4 | 78.4 |
| 15 | Toronto | 20 | 59 | 18.3 | 77.3 |
| GR | Pts | New Pts | Total | ||
| 1 | Detroit | 20 | 89 | 25.5 | 114.5 |
| 2 | Dallas | 18 | 79 | 21.8 | 100.8 |
| 3 | Anaheim | 18 | 75 | 25.0 | 100.0 |
| 4 | Minnesota | 21 | 73 | 25.8 | 98.8 |
| 5 | Nashville | 19 | 72 | 25.8 | 97.8 |
| 6 | Calgary | 21 | 70 | 25.0 | 95.0 |
| 7 | San Jose | 21 | 72 | 22.0 | 94.0 |
| 8 | Vancouver | 21 | 70 | 22.0 | 92.0 |
| 9 | Phoenix | 21 | 66 | 25.4 | 91.4 |
| 10 | St. Louis | 22 | 65 | 22.0 | 87.0 |
| 11 | Colorado | 21 | 66 | 20.0 | 86.0 |
| 12 | Columbus | 19 | 65 | 18.2 | 83.2 |
| 13 | Chicago | 22 | 62 | 20.1 | 82.1 |
| 14 | Edmonton | 21 | 59 | 23.0 | 82.0 |
| 15 | Los Angeles | 19 | 55 | 20.7 | 75.7 |
What's interesting is that the Capitals would actually climb above the eighth-place team in the Eastern Conference, which would be a blessing for the league given the Southeast winner wouldn't bump a "legitimate" playoff team. You can see San Jose sliding in the West, while Phoenix remains right in the hunt.
Colorado and Philadelphia have been falling fast.
I suppose we'll see how accurate this ends up being on April 6.





6 Comments:
Very interesting. I was wondering about that...glad you took the time to do the numbers.
I like my Preds chances against the Wild...or even the Flames or Ducks. Just please, oh please not the Sharks again.
So my question is what happens if the Penguins cool off once Sid comes back? If my back of the envelope math is right, they're actually closer to 75% since he went out 1/18. I think if the Pens were smart, they'd pull the trigger on Crosby for Sundin. Straight up.
Interesting that even though the Canucks have had a pretty tough run in 2008 so far, they could keep their same pace and likely make the playoffs (or just miss them). I suspect their record should be improving over the next 20 games as players get healthy and hit their stride a bit -- in fact, the team might actually peak at a decent time this year.
Wait a sec... you're saying the Habs AREN'T going to finish in 13th? ;)
BDH said...
...I think if the Pens were smart, they'd pull the trigger on Crosby for Sundin. Straight up.
Thank Christ the Pens are not as smart as you.
I'm sure they're at least as familiar with sarcasm though.
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