Friday, February 22, 2008

Projecting the standings

One more quick post based on the standings since Dec. 31 — here's a look at what the final standings would be if teams play the same over the final 20~ games as they have so far in 2008 (keeping in mind that that's a pretty big if):



GR Pts New Pts Total
1 Pittsburgh 21 75 30.1 105.1
2 New Jersey 21 75 27.4 102.4
3 Montreal 20 75 26.1 101.1
4 Ottawa 21 76 20.1 96.1
5 Boston 22 68 27.2 95.2
6 Buffalo 21 68 24.5 92.5
7 Washington 21 63 26.7 89.7
8 NY Rangers 20 68 20.9 88.9
9 NY Islanders 20 67 20.8 87.8
10 Philadelphia 21 66 21.0 87.0
11 Carolina 18 67 18.8 85.8
12 Atlanta 20 62 20.9 82.9
13 Tampa Bay 21 57 22.9 79.9
14 Florida 19 61 17.4 78.4
15 Toronto 20 59 18.3 77.3








GR Pts New Pts Total
1 Detroit 20 89 25.5 114.5
2 Dallas 18 79 21.8 100.8
3 Anaheim 18 75 25.0 100.0
4 Minnesota 21 73 25.8 98.8
5 Nashville 19 72 25.8 97.8
6 Calgary 21 70 25.0 95.0
7 San Jose 21 72 22.0 94.0
8 Vancouver 21 70 22.0 92.0
9 Phoenix 21 66 25.4 91.4
10 St. Louis 22 65 22.0 87.0
11 Colorado 21 66 20.0 86.0
12 Columbus 19 65 18.2 83.2
13 Chicago 22 62 20.1 82.1
14 Edmonton 21 59 23.0 82.0
15 Los Angeles 19 55 20.7 75.7

What's interesting is that the Capitals would actually climb above the eighth-place team in the Eastern Conference, which would be a blessing for the league given the Southeast winner wouldn't bump a "legitimate" playoff team. You can see San Jose sliding in the West, while Phoenix remains right in the hunt.

Colorado and Philadelphia have been falling fast.

I suppose we'll see how accurate this ends up being on April 6.

6 Comments:

At 6:46 PM, February 22, 2008, Blogger Paul Nicholson said...

Very interesting. I was wondering about that...glad you took the time to do the numbers.

I like my Preds chances against the Wild...or even the Flames or Ducks. Just please, oh please not the Sharks again.

 
At 9:09 PM, February 22, 2008, Anonymous BDH said...

So my question is what happens if the Penguins cool off once Sid comes back? If my back of the envelope math is right, they're actually closer to 75% since he went out 1/18. I think if the Pens were smart, they'd pull the trigger on Crosby for Sundin. Straight up.

 
At 9:41 PM, February 22, 2008, Blogger Jeremy said...

Interesting that even though the Canucks have had a pretty tough run in 2008 so far, they could keep their same pace and likely make the playoffs (or just miss them). I suspect their record should be improving over the next 20 games as players get healthy and hit their stride a bit -- in fact, the team might actually peak at a decent time this year.

 
At 11:31 PM, February 22, 2008, Blogger saskhab said...

Wait a sec... you're saying the Habs AREN'T going to finish in 13th? ;)

 
At 1:22 AM, February 23, 2008, Blogger Old said...

BDH said...

...I think if the Pens were smart, they'd pull the trigger on Crosby for Sundin. Straight up.

Thank Christ the Pens are not as smart as you.

 
At 11:14 AM, February 23, 2008, Anonymous BDH said...

I'm sure they're at least as familiar with sarcasm though.

 

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