2008 Playoffs: Round 1, Day 4
Ducks could be cooked
With a handful of minutes left in the third period of Game 2, it's 5-2 for the Stars over the defending champion Ducks, which means Anaheim's about to fall into quite a hole.
And they're headed on the road.
The Ducks are going to now have to win four of the next five games in this series, three of which will be in Texas, and history isn't on their side. Of the 65 series where the home side has dropped the first two games, only 16 teams (24.6%) have come back to win in six or seven games.
And if past results are any indication, Anaheim has only a 50/50 chance of winning Game 3 in Dallas.
I'm not one to often harp on officiating, but some of the calls in this series have been incredible — and I don't mean that in a good way.
Even with the phantom calls, however, Anaheim doesn't deserve to be in this series. They've allowed six power-play goals in two games, with a penalty-kill success rate of about 54 per cent.
This is a team that struggled to score all season, finishing 28th in the category, and really is missing Corey Perry up front at the moment. In other words, the Ducks can't afford to hemorrhage goals against.
I honestly can't see this team defending the Cup.
But give Dallas credit: At this point, the champs are an incredible underdog to take this one past Game 6.
I had a bad feeling about picking Anaheim in this series after reading the Stars' mindset heading in, as the 'us against the world' mentality can do wonders for a team that has a mountain to climb. If Brad Richards plays like this, they could even do some damage beyond Round 1.
They're simply playing with more heart right now.