Grading the free agents
Goals, assists and points
All right, here are the basics. Potential free agent forwards who had 35 points or more and defencemen who had 20 points or more this past season (RFAs in red):
| Name | Team | GP | G | A | Pts | +/- | |
| 1 | Mats Sundin | TOR | 74 | 32 | 46 | 78 | 17 |
| 2 | Jaromir Jagr | NYR | 82 | 25 | 46 | 71 | 8 |
| 3 | Marian Hossa | PIT | 72 | 29 | 37 | 66 | -14 |
| 4 | Kristian Huselius | CGY | 81 | 25 | 41 | 66 | 10 |
| 5 | Cory Stillman | OTT | 79 | 24 | 41 | 65 | -15 |
| 6 | Pierre-Marc Bouchard | MIN | 81 | 13 | 50 | 63 | 11 |
| 7 | Brian Rolston | MIN | 81 | 31 | 28 | 59 | -1 |
| 8 | Andrew Brunette | COL | 82 | 19 | 40 | 59 | 5 |
| 9 | Radim Vrbata | PHO | 76 | 27 | 29 | 56 | 6 |
| 10 | Markus Naslund | VAN | 82 | 25 | 30 | 55 | -7 |
| 11 | Pavol Demitra | MIN | 68 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 9 |
| 12 | Corey Perry | ANA | 70 | 29 | 25 | 54 | 12 |
| 13 | Andrei Kostitsyn | MON | 78 | 26 | 27 | 53 | 15 |
| 14 | Antoine Vermette | OTT | 81 | 24 | 29 | 53 | 3 |
| 15 | Patrick O'Sullivan | LOS | 82 | 22 | 31 | 53 | -8 |
| 16 | Ryan Malone | PIT | 77 | 27 | 24 | 51 | 14 |
| 17 | R.J. Umberger | COB | 74 | 13 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 | Mark Recchi | ATL | 72 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -18 |
| 19 | Wojtek Wolski | COL | 77 | 18 | 30 | 48 | 10 |
| 20 | Brendan Shanahan | NYR | 73 | 23 | 23 | 46 | -2 |
| 21 | Martin Straka | NYR | 65 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 5 |
| 22 | Sergei Fedorov | WAS | 68 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -5 |
| 23 | Miroslav Satan | NYI | 80 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -11 |
| 24 | Niklas Hagman | DAL | 82 | 27 | 14 | 41 | 4 |
| 25 | Joe Sakic | COL | 44 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -4 |
| 26 | Marek Svatos | COL | 62 | 26 | 11 | 37 | 13 |
| 27 | Brooks Laich | WAS | 82 | 21 | 16 | 37 | -3 |
| 28 | Jason Williams | CHI | 43 | 13 | 23 | 36 | -2 |
| 29 | Valtteri Filppula | DET | 78 | 19 | 17 | 36 | 16 |
| 30 | Jarret Stoll | EDM | 81 | 14 | 22 | 36 | -23 |
| 31 | Paul Gaustad | BUF | 82 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -4 |
| 32 | Daniel Paille | BUF | 77 | 19 | 16 | 35 | 9 |
| 33 | Jan Hlavac | NAS | 80 | 12 | 23 | 35 | -1 |
| 34 | Josef Vasicek | NYI | 81 | 16 | 19 | 35 | 1 |
| Name | Team | GP | G | A | Pts | +/- | |
| 1 | Mark Streit | MON | 81 | 13 | 49 | 62 | -6 |
| 2 | Brian Campbell | SAN | 83 | 8 | 54 | 62 | 8 |
| 3 | Mike Green | WAS | 82 | 18 | 38 | 56 | 6 |
| 4 | Michal Rozsival | NYR | 80 | 13 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 5 | Wade Redden | OTT | 80 | 6 | 32 | 38 | 11 |
| 6 | Jay Bouwmeester | FLA | 82 | 15 | 22 | 37 | -5 |
| 7 | Andrej Meszaros | OTT | 82 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 5 |
| 8 | Ron Hainsey | COB | 78 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -7 |
| 9 | John-Michael Liles | COL | 81 | 6 | 26 | 32 | 2 |
| 10 | Randy Jones | PHI | 71 | 5 | 26 | 31 | 8 |
| 11 | Rob Blake | LOS | 71 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -19 |
| 12 | Joni Pitkanen | EDM | 63 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -5 |
| 13 | Brad Stuart | DET | 72 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -10 |
| 14 | Bryan Berard | NYI | 54 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -17 |
| 15 | Christian Ehrhoff | SAN | 77 | 1 | 21 | 22 | 9 |
This is what they mean when you hear it's not a strong free agent class: Only two players with more than 66 points last season, and quite a few guys coming off of down years.
Sundin and Rolston are the only 30-goal scorers, and there are only nine UFA defenders with 20 points or more.
The trick, in my mind, when it comes to free agency, is not necessarily getting the big fish. Rather, the players you want to add to your team (presumably one that's already near contention) are the undervalued ones.
Sundin, Jagr, Hossa — huge paydays. Campbell, Streit, Redden — ditto.
But someone like Rolston, who the Wild hard having a heckuva time signing, or Vrbata, who broke out for 27 goals despite big ice time with meagre linemates, could be closer to a home run, dpending on what the interest is like in their service.
On the blueline, Rozsival continues to be underrated, and players like Hainsey and Liles are young enough that you're getting potentially breakout years given the development timeline for defenders.
Note where Ryan Malone is on the list, despite the fact he lined up beside Sid Crosby or Evgeni Malkin all season.
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Labels: free agency, Statistics





17 Comments:
Laich's an RFA.
Oh how I hope the Canucks sign Malone.
Then I can pull out this list and tell alllll my friends that Naslund actually scored more points than him last year.
Hehehehehe.
I've been a Rangers season ticket holder for years, and I will never understand why anyone things Rosival is underrated.
He is good with outlet passes when he is not pressured. He has a good shot that he doesn't like to use. He does not have great instincts defending the rush. He is acceptable in his own end, but he's hardly a shut-down guy. His best years were 2005/6 and 2006/7, when he was paired with Marik Malik (who was actually very good those two years). And he played lots of shift with Jagr's line.
Rosival is a #3/4 defenseman who can chip in as a 2nd pairing on the PP. He's shown nothing to indicate he will be a top pairing Dman, even though thats how the Rangers have used him.
If it takes 4+ million to sign him, I hope he's wearing a different sweater next year.
Very good point regarding Malone. Don't get me wrong, the guy is a machine. The fact that he came back just a few minutes after taking a Hal Gill slapshot in the face (you know, the same one that kept Volchenkov out for 2 or 3 games earlier in the playoffs) is a testament to his grit.
He's also a good leader, and he'll stand up for anyone on his team at any time, and he can make life for a goalie less than enjoyable.
But he is probably not going to be a 30 goal scorer. I have a ton of respect for him, and I wish the market wasn't giving him the option of making a (relative) killing as he becomes a free agent, because I'd really like him back. But if he can fleece some team for some excessive amount of money for what he brings to the table, then good for him and his pocket book and his wife's shopping. I certainly don't begrudge him this opportunity. But having seen him place for the last couple of years, I can honestly say he's nowhere near close to 5m per year, or whatever such numbers were being bandied about for him earlier.
Then again, I'm that jerk who thought the Flyers were jokes for signing Briere for as much as they did, too.
"Note where Ryan Malone is on the list, despite the fact he lined up beside Sid Crosby or Evgeni Malkin all season."
You mean other than Sundin, Hossa and Rolston no other UFA scored more goals?
Malone didn't many get assists because he didn't have to carry the puck up the ice, Malkin or Gonchar did. Malone's role was to drive to the net to open more time/space for the skill guys, muck out pucks in deep and put in the garbage. And he played that role very well.
It's hard to rack up assists (especially on the power play where Malone only had 5) when you're the guy taking a beating in front of the net while the others are playing catch around the perimeter.
Expanding on my 30 goal scorer comment: what I'm saying is that last year was his most productive year, playing with Malkin and Sykora, and he still only put up 27 goals. I guess I can't definitively say that some other center-right-wing duo wouldn't mesh even better with him than Malkin and Sykora did, but I highly doubt it, and as such, I think last year is going to be his peak year.
Hopefully I'm wrong :)
Streit wants to exclusively play defense and he's not a top four guy.
Don't expect him to put up those types of numbers anywhere else.
Sheldon Souray 2.0
He flat out sucked on the point in the playoffs.
What is Jason Williams' status health-wise? He looks like the darkhorse catch of the pool, IMO. No one is talking about him, yet he's a guy that was on a 70 point pace, is versatile like Rolston and is only 27.
Still keeping Straka on this list, James? I thought he was going back to the Czech Republic to play for his hometown team there?
Malone is not that good a player, Hooks....taking pucks in the face just means he can take a puck in the face. $4 million for him is pure insanity, any team that pays that much for him will be the recipient of the biggest burn of the offseason.
Your boy Orpik on the other hand is going to be a nice pickup for whoever ponies up. He had a great playoff for the Flightless Birds.
anon, I never said Malone's worth the $4+ million a year he's going to get. Just rightfully pointing out that he has talent and skills away from the puck that isn't reflected in the end of the year point totals.
Malone's going to score atleast 20 goals if he plays most the season. He's consistent like that, even on the crappy pre-Crosby/Malkin Penguin teams. So I don't think he's going to be a huge burn to his new team...But I do concede he's probably not going to deliver the most bang for his buck. But then again, most high-profile UFA's don't.
Pitkanen is the best defenceman available. Mark my words. (No need to comment)
Malone is a really good player, I am interested to see how this turns out with the signing
Years ago somebody asked Scotty Bowman if Martin Lapointe is 5M dollar player (after Lapointe signed such a deal with Boston)?
"Now he is", said Scotty. Priceless.
This same comment works for Malone, too. Most likely he'll be like Lapointe (not really worth it).
Liles deal with Avs is as expected but Foote's deal will bite them in the ass. As will Smyth/Hannan deals.
Visnovsky's trade to Edmonton will mean Pitkanen's trade to Carolina for Williams/Cole/Ruutu or some other package with draft pick(s).
Carolina will win this one but now Edmonton can afford it because they have Visnovsky taking Pitkanen's role as number one defenceman.
Great to see Roberts still playing because he gives me hope;) In that regard I just love Chelios.
I really don't get trading draft picks for the right to talk to someone a few days early. Maybe if it's Mats Sundin you're talking about, but Malone, Roberts and Rolston are good players, not great ones. The difference between them and someone else you might be able to sign after July 1 is not large enough to justify giving up resources to get them. That's even assuming that you wouldn't have been able to sign them anyway. To me, this smells of itchy trigger fingers, and a desire to do something, anything, right now. Learn the value of delayed gratification boys.
um, is mirtle dead?
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