Grading the free agents
Quality of competition
The pool of NHL free agents this summer will be wide if not deep — including restricted free agents (and I think you have to), there are 165 "availables" out there among players who played at least 20 games last season and more than 10 minutes a game at even strength.
Of that group, here are the top 20+ defencemen and forwards in Behind The Net's quality of competition measure. By this metric, these are the free agents who lined up against the opposition's top lines in 2007-08 (RFAs in red):
| NAME | TEAM | GP | TOI/60 | QUAL COMP | |
| 1 | ADAM FOOTE | COL | 75 | 17.3 | 0.15 |
| 2 | KURT SAUER | COL | 54 | 15.0 | 0.12 |
| 3 | JAY BOUWMEESTER | FLA | 82 | 19.0 | 0.12 |
| 4 | BRYCE SALVADOR | N.J | 64 | 15.6 | 0.09 |
| 5 | ROB BLAKE | L.A | 71 | 14.8 | 0.09 |
| 6 | MAREK MALIK | NYR | 42 | 15.8 | 0.06 |
| 7 | CHRISTIAN EHRHOFF | S.J | 77 | 15.9 | 0.05 |
| 8 | MICHAL ROZSIVAL | NYR | 80 | 16.9 | 0.05 |
| 9 | DENNIS WIDEMAN | BOS | 81 | 17.6 | 0.04 |
| 10 | BRET HEDICAN | CAR | 66 | 15.8 | 0.03 |
| 11 | JONI PITKANEN | EDM | 63 | 16.9 | 0.03 |
| 12 | SHAONE MORRISONN | WSH | 76 | 16.1 | 0.03 |
| 13 | MARK EATON | PIT | 36 | 14.6 | 0.02 |
| 14 | BRUNO GERVAIS | NYI | 60 | 14.4 | 0.02 |
| 15 | MIKE GREEN | WSH | 82 | 17.8 | 0.02 |
| 16 | DENNIS SEIDENBERG | CAR | 47 | 14.1 | 0.01 |
| 17 | MIKE COMMODORE | OTT | 67 | 14.3 | 0.01 |
| 18 | JAROSLAV MODRY | PHI | 80 | 15.2 | 0.01 |
| 19 | JORDAN HENDRY | CHI | 40 | 14.3 | 0.01 |
| 20 | PAUL MARA | NYR | 61 | 13.5 | 0.00 |
| 21 | ANDREJ MESZAROS | OTT | 82 | 15.5 | 0.00 |
| 22 | RON HAINSEY | CBJ | 78 | 15.5 | 0.00 |
| NAME | TEAM | GP | TOI/60 | QUAL COMP | |
| 1 | JAY PANDOLFO | N.J | 54 | 13.4 | 0.16 |
| 2 | STEPHANE VEILLEUX | MIN | 77 | 12.1 | 0.10 |
| 3 | CLARKE MACARTHUR | BUF | 37 | 12.5 | 0.09 |
| 4 | JARRET STOLL | EDM | 81 | 10.8 | 0.09 |
| 5 | BRAD RICHARDSON | LA | 22 | 11.6 | 0.09 |
| 6 | MATS SUNDIN | TOR | 74 | 13.9 | 0.08 |
| 7 | CRAIG CONROY | CGY | 79 | 12.3 | 0.07 |
| 8 | JAN HLAVAC | NSH | 80 | 13.2 | 0.07 |
| 9 | JOE SAKIC | COL | 44 | 13.7 | 0.07 |
| 10 | MICHAEL PECA | CBJ | 65 | 12.4 | 0.07 |
| 11 | BRYAN SMOLINSKI | MTL | 64 | 10.4 | 0.07 |
| 12 | DAVID CLARKSON | N.J | 81 | 11.5 | 0.06 |
| 13 | SEAN AVERY | NYR | 57 | 13.1 | 0.06 |
| 14 | MARTY REASONER | EDM | 82 | 11.0 | 0.06 |
| 15 | RUSLAN FEDOTENKO | NYI | 67 | 13.2 | 0.06 |
| 16 | MICHAEL RYDER | MTL | 70 | 10.8 | 0.06 |
| 17 | CORY STILLMAN | OTT | 79 | 13.4 | 0.05 |
| 18 | MATT STAJAN | TOR | 82 | 13.7 | 0.05 |
| 19 | DAVID BACKES | STL | 72 | 11.9 | 0.05 |
| 20 | JAY MCCLEMENT | STL | 81 | 11.2 | 0.05 |
| 21 | BRAD ISBISTER | VAN | 55 | 10.1 | 0.05 |
If I've got someone there who's re-signed, let me know (and keep in mind that this changes by the day).
I've included everyone on this list, even the likes of Foote and Sakic, who are all but certain to sign with Colorado. If Foote was available, somehow, however, I imagine he could command one of the biggest deals for a blueliner out there.
He had a very strong year defensively.
What I don't have here is performance in those difficult minutes, and some of these players struggled mightily. I'm planning on having a series of similar posts, identifying the leaders in various attributes, so if there's one you're a fan of, let me know.
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Labels: free agency, Statistics





6 Comments:
Coming from Pittsburgh I'm well aware of the team and it's RFAs and so maybe I have favoritism towards them but why isn't Malone ranked in the top forward because he played in the top-line a huge chunk of the season and was therefore against heavy competition?
BTN's QOO ratings tends to scale very poorly when looked at league wide, so in this context I'm not sure it's very useful.
It's terrific for looking at how a player faired relative to his teammates but comparing cross team it's valuable is dubious.
You'll find some teams have all but 5-6 players playing tougher minutes then everyone on another team and various anomalies like that. For example, Pitsburgh has pretty much the entire team being shelered
BTN has Malone as having played the 3rd toughest minutes on Pittsburgh, so he was definitely out there against the big guys fairly often (And looking at the NHL's game sheets seems to back that up, though he wasn't an exclusive tough minute shut down guy from a quick look).
Taking the direct numbers and comparing across teams doesn't really work out well IMO.
Brooks Orpik of the Pens was part of the top pairing and played alot of mins against the oppositions top lines as well so I believe he should also be on this list.
Conner re-upped last March.
http://tinyurl.com/5lk329
Everything Rand says is absolutely applicable, although I don't think that means these numbers are useless. Foote and Bouwmeester, for example, are still getting all of the ugly minutes even if someone like Ryan Malone just misses the list.
Interesting that Brian Campbell is viewed as the premier UFA defensemen, and he doesn't even show up in the top 20 list here.
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