The young UFAs
One of the most important and dramatic changes in the NHL's collective bargaining agreement was the age of unrestricted free agency, which was dropped to 27 for most players — and as low as 25 for some — coming out of the lockout.
Now, the difference between a 27-year-old free agent and a 35-year-old one is incredible: Not only will you get much more use out of a player's peak years, but you'll also avoid the increased risk that involves aged players. Under the CBA, any multi-year contract given to a 35-year-old free agent will count against the cap regardless of whether or not the player plays out the full deal.
In other words, if Brian Rolston signs in Tampa Bay for, let's say, $15-million over three years and retires after next season, there will be a cap hit of $5-million for the Lightning the next two seasons.
Here is a list of this year's 28-and-under unrestricted free agents (sorted by age then 2007-08 cap hit; noteables in blue):
| Player | Age | Team | Pos | 2007-08 cap hit | |
| 1 | Emery, Ray | 25 | OTT | G | $3.167 |
| 2 | Voros, Aaron | 26 | MIN | L | $0.495 |
| 3 | Kalinin, Dmitri | 27 | BUF | D | $2.000 |
| 4 | Williams, Jason | 27 | CHI | C | $1.600 |
| 5 | Vrbata, Radim | 27 | PHX | R | $1.225 |
| 6 | Orpik, Brooks | 27 | PIT | D | $1.038 |
| 7 | Miettinen, Antti | 27 | DAL | L | $0.885 |
| 8 | Mezei, Branislav | 27 | FLA | D | $0.825 |
| 9 | Vasicek, Josef | 27 | NYI | C | $0.750 |
| 10 | Hainsey, Ron | 27 | CLB | D | $0.738 |
| 11 | McCarthy, Steve | 27 | ATL | D | $0.725 |
| 12 | Sauer, Kurt | 27 | COL | D | $0.719 |
| 13 | Moore, Dominic | 27 | TOR | C | $0.700 |
| 14 | Auld, Alex | 27 | BOS | G | $0.600 |
| 15 | Hale, David | 27 | CGY | D | $0.590 |
| 16 | Beech, Kris | 27 | PIT | C | $0.585 |
| 17 | Hall, Adam | 27 | PIT | R | $0.525 |
| 18 | Hordichuk, Darcy | 27 | CAR | L | $0.517 |
| 19 | Winchester, Brad | 27 | DAL | C | $0.475 |
| 20 | Weller, Craig | 27 | PHX | R | $0.475 |
| 21 | Stuart, Brad | 28 | DET | D | $3.500 |
| 22 | Mara, Paul | 28 | NYR | D | $3.000 |
| 23 | Ryder, Michael | 28 | MTL | R | $2.950 |
| 24 | Raycroft, Andrew | 28 | TOR | G | $2.000 |
| 25 | Avery, Sean | 28 | NYR | C | $1.900 |
| 26 | Rachunek, Karel | 28 | NJD | D | $1.400 |
| 27 | Commodore, Mike | 28 | OTT | D | $1.250 |
| 28 | Vandermeer, Jim | 28 | CGY | D | $1.225 |
| 29 | Montador, Steve | 28 | FLA | D | $0.800 |
| 30 | Hagman, Niklas | 28 | DAL | L | $0.675 |
| 31 | Walker, Matt | 28 | STL | D | $0.600 |
| 32 | Sanford, Curtis | 28 | VAN | G | $0.600 |
| 33 | Davison, Rob | 28 | NYI | D | $0.525 |
| 34 | Wozniewski, Andy | 28 | TOR | D | $0.500 |
| 35 | Godard, Eric | 28 | CGY | R | $0.475 |
| 36 | Finger, Jeff | 28 | COL | D | $0.475 |
| 37 | Janik, Doug | 28 | TBL | D | $0.475 |
We've heard a ton about how restricted free agents are getting big contracts under the new CBA, but young unrestricted free agents are truly on the open market and will be overpaid even more than an RFA coming off an entry level deal.
Some of these players, like Orpik, Sauer and Avery, are going to be paid based on their potential despite having been in the league for a few years.
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Labels: free agency





4 Comments:
Based on the data from your site I'd say Avery is past potential and into production.
I was blown away when I saw he was in the top-10 points-per-minute among RFA/UFA forwards - and against tough opposition, too.
If he can stay healthy (a big if with that mouth) he could put up some really big numbers in the right situation.
I wonder how many millions his mouth will end up costing him.
Julian, you could ask the opposite: without that mouth (and the attitude that brought it on), where would Sean Avery be today?
Not the NHL, I suspect.
Good point, Mike - is Avery an elite hockey player because of his attitude or in spite of it?
Based on his scoring rate he could very likely succeed in the NHL without having to be an agitator. In fact, I imagine his shenanigans take away from his scoring to some degree.
He might be an even better player without the attitude or he might never have made it.
Is he a chicken s**t or does he have big eggs? Something to that effect, anyway.
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